"The Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong forced to come here to canvas votes for them.  I had no time to rest.  This is too hard!"
"Please f*cking drag her out quickly!  Otherwise, it would be a disaster if we don't get paid!"

(Reuters via Guadian.co.uk)

China dispatched its Olympic heroes to Hong Kong on Friday for a well-timed celebratory tour that could give pro-Beijing candidates a boost before crucial September legislative elections. ...

The former British colony returned to Chinese rule in 1997 with the guarantee of a high degree of autonomy, since when it city has maintained its free-wheeling business and social lifestyle. But its politics has been largely defined along a political axis separating pro-Beijing or pro-business forces from an opposition democratic camp, seeking direct elections but weakened by scant resources and infighting.

In a repeat of 2004, when 50 Athens Summer Games champions descended on the financial centre before elections to the Legislative Council, or mini-parliament, 63 Olympians, including diver Guo Jingjing and gymnast Yang Wei, arrived in Hong Kong for three days of photo ops, Disneyland visits, banquets and sports demonstrations.

The athletes were welcomed to a big fanfare by cheering primary school children at the airport. "The serendipity of the visit is quite good," said Michael DeGolyer, a politics analyst at Hong Kong Baptist University.

[ESWN Comment: Actually, a superior election tool would be to entice someone to make this an issue and then announce: "Due to comments (from western media and Hong Kong pan-democats) about the propriety of the Chinese gold medalists coming to Hong Kong before the election, the visit has been cancelled.  Since the Chinese gold medalists will be disbanded before the election takes place, Hong Kong will not be able to see them in person."  What will the reaction be?  Here are the relevant polling data (Hong Kong Research Association) :

Q9. Are you looking forward to the visit by the Chinese Olympic gold medalists at the end of the month?
59%: Yes
10%: No
31%: No opinion

As an aside, where are the protestors?  What happened to the Students For Free Tibet? Christina Chan? Leung Kwok-hung? Anyone else?  There are protests, but you will need a fine toothcomb to locate them in the news.  Here is the only item that I can find.

(The Sun)  After the gala evening show, "Ms. Long  Hair" Lui Yuk-lin and others displayed funeral wreaths and a snow mountain Free Tibet flag outside the sports grounds.  There was a moment of chaos as people threw water bottles at them.  The police had to use a megaphone to ask citizens to calm down.]

 

 

(Ming Pao)  At the Saturday evening show, the Chinese Olympic gold medalists were all lip-synching during their singing.  When Guo Jingjing, Wu Minxia and Qin Ke sang <Invisible Wings> with Joey Yung, the three kept conversing among themselves and seemed to be unaware that they were supposed to be singing with Joey Yung.  When Charlene Choi sang with the women's quadruple sculls gold medal team, the sound suddenly stopped but they kept moving their mouths.

(Apple Daily. Ming Pao)

A complaint was filed yesterday by a Kowloon City resident who received (1) a letter of recommendation from the Kowloon City District Resident Association to vote for Starry Lee (DAB) and (2) an invitation to attend a mid-autumn festival gathering on August 30, 2008 at the Laguna Palce Restaurant with admission fee of $128 per person.  An unnamed person who attended the function said that nobody asked him for admission fee.

According to a worker at the Kowloon City District Resident Association, they only wrote a letter of recommendation to their members and the DAB was responsible for mailing.  He had no knowledge about any meal ticket.

According to Starry Lee, the DAB party mailed more than 2,000 letters of recommendation.  But she denied knowing anything about the meal tickets being enclosed.  In fact, she claimed to have no knowledge about the meal tickets whatsoever.

(SCMP)

At an election rally in the Kowloon West constituency, lawmaker Lau Chin-shek, who is also chairman of the Confederation of Trade Unions, was urged to withdraw from the race after a watchdog group labelled his performance in Legco as "very unsatisfactory".  A man distributing leaflets titled "Lau Chin-shek, quit the election" to people at Mr Lau's rally refused to disclose his identity.  Mr Lau said it was not surprising to be attacked during an election.

(Apple Daily)

Lau Chin-shet was at an election rally in Mei Foo yesterday during which time a young man was distributing a stack of leaflets to ask Lau to quit instead of blocking the path of others.  This young man was very mysterious.  When the reporter asked for his name, he kept silent.  When the reporter asked for his organization or political party, he said that there was none.  The strangest part of it all is that he kept using a poster of Democratic Party candidate James To to cover his face.  If he were To's man, would he show off in this manner?  This was obviously a frame-up.

Apple Daily asked James To whether he sent someone out.  He denied it bluntly and directly, and pointed out that someone was framing him up.

The pan-democrats are fighting for votes in Kowloon West, and some candidates want to raid Lau's votes.  Since Lau's supporters are mostly grassroot citizens, it is logical to deduce who is doing this frame-up.

(Ming Pao)

Yesterday a citizen was distribution leafets that say, "Lau Chin-shek, quite the election."  When the reporter questioned him, he said: "I'm not with the League of Social Democrats, I am not with the Democratic Party.  I just don't want someone who does nothing in that seat."  He left after saying that.  Lau Chin-shek said that everyone has the right and freedom to distribute leaflets.

But do not expect this to be a positive-message PR coup, because netizens have no respect for anything.  At Tianya Forum, someone went through with screen captures of the athletes in various degrees of distress and boredom:

(People's Daily Online)  August 29, 2008.

The dismissal of Dieter Klaus Hennig from the senior editor position with SID (Der Sport-Information-Dienst), a German sports news agency, in early August has given rise to widespread concern of German media, and most of the German local media deem that Hennig has been ousted for his prolonged pro-China stance.

Is sports editor Dieter Klaus Hennig really imbued with an apparent "pro-China stance"? His boss or ex-employer, Michael Cremer, supervisor and president of the SID, has given a clear, explicit answer. Cremer said he insisted that his SID reporters need to keep certain distance from Beijing and should be beyond the hoopla and type of the Games with an implication that Hennig's reports were not "clean". In other words, Hennig should have made his stories dirtier or "filthier" with his reports of China's sports events. This has obviously posed the out-and-out double standards for the press media.

As a matter of fact, shortly after the incident relating to Dieter Klaus Hennig occurred, some media organs doubted and even questioned the so-called press freedom of the SID. The core point is that if there was a full freedom of the press, it did not matter at all whether Dieter Klaus Hennig had taken a "pro-China stance". Moreover, his reportage is well-grounded, and "neat and tidy".

(China Daily)  August 29, 2008.

A Chinese woman working at Germany's DW-Radio has been suspended from her job following remarks she made in the media on human rights and other issues in China, the German press has reported.

Four days before the opening of the Beijing Olympics, Zhang Danhong, an editor with the German broadcaster's Chinese program, reportedly said that "The Communist Party of China has more than any political force in the world implemented Article 3 of the Declaration of Human Rights", referring to the Chinese authorities pulling more than 400 million people out of poverty.

Similarly, in a TV talk show in late July, Zhang reportedly said the Chinese government had done a lot to protect local culture in Tibet and criticized German Chancellor Angela Merkel for sapping relations with Beijing.

The German media is said to have reacted strongly to Zhang's remarks.

On Aug 11, German magazine Focus attacked Zhang as someone who was "courting" China's Communist Party. On Aug 20, the Berliner Zeitung newspaper quoted parliamentary representative Dieter Wiefelsputz as saying that Zhang's performance was a "catastrophe".

Two days later, the same newspaper confirmed Zhang's suspension from work.

(Deutsche Welle)  August 30, 2008.

[in translation]

... during a certain discussion program, she said some things that were inconsistent with the guiding principles of Deutsche Welle, which includes advocating democracy, freedom and human rights.

Deutsche Welle is obliged to conduct an investigation of the matter.  Per standard practice, the principal cannot participate in any public activities (including broadcasting) until the investigation has been completed.  This is how Deutsche Welle is handling the matter of Ms. Zhang Danhong.

Here are two possibly relevant Internet posts.  I'll let you draw the inferences.

(Boxun)  By Zhu Xueyuan.  August 30, 2008.

[in translation]

...  I don't think that Ms. Zhang Danhong is a member of the Fifth Column.  She is a Chinese person who studied in the west and became an "angry young person" who did not join the mainstream.  Therefore, she communicated her discontent directly to the Beijing correspondent of Xinhua who asked the world: "She angrily said that Germany has always advocated 'freedom of press' but can anyone detect it from her personal experience?"  That is to say, "When a country does not speak out on behalf of the Chinese Communists, it does not have freedom of press."

That is not how it is.  In the west, people can watch CCTV and read People's Daily, although these media outlets do not draw any audience.  The German taxpayers are paying for Deutsche Welle which must therefore express the voice of the German people.  This voice must also be mainstream because it is the public opinion upon which the foreign policies of the German government are based.

The so-called "freedom of press" does not mean that "my mouth" must speak "your words."  It is really about me allowing you to speak.  If Ms. Zhang Danhong wants to speak for Beijing on Deutsche Welle, it is asking them to do the impossible.  This is not freedom of press.  Ms. Zhang Danhong should find a way to get on Voice Of China to speak in German to order to wake up the stupid citizens of the western world.

In the western world, pro-China people have the right to express their own views.  But that does not mean that they can use Voice Of America or Deutsche Welle to do so.  They should build their own opinion space to do so.  In fact, the Chinese government has made a great deal of investment which the western governments are not blocking.  As a result, the Chinese government has made some outstanding progress.  But to turn Deutsche Welle into Voice Of Chinese Communists is not very smart under the circumstances.

[Note: Zhu Xueyuan's post includes a more-detailed Chinese-language Xinhua dispatch on the case of Zhang Donhong, where the allegation is that Deutsche Welle succumbed to pressures from a certain religious cult which is interested in truth, beauty and tolerance.]

(Life is but an empty dream ...)  August 16, 2008.  (Note: The blogger is an Apple Daily (Hong Kong) political reporter)

[in translation]

... In Hong Kong, the media are not under restrictions.  But the self-imposed restrictions here are no less than in mainland China.  Without the Hong Kong or central governments saying anything, many sensitive news are automatically diluted and replaced by more official news.  Such is the sorrow of the 'leftist' newspaper workers.  "This cannot be reported" is their common refrain.

This is not to say a 'pro-democracy' newspaper does not have taboos, which are perhaps fewer in the sense that only one or two people that the boss detests do not get exposure.  While one may disagree with these low-down tactics to make people disappear from view, there is nothing a media worker can really do.  Nobody wants to 'try' something that will infuriate the boss.  Who wants to smash one's rice bowl?

Although the environments of the Hong Kong and mainland Chinese media are different, it all boils down to: "The media workers are just tools for a certain person or organization to achieve a certain objective."  So how can media workers not feel sorry for themselves?

[ESWN Comment:  If you really want to speak whatever is on your mind without restrictions, blog!]

23-year-old Jia Zhipan was a fourth-year student majoring in computer science at the Xian Eurasia University.  At around 8pm on May 29, he was in his dormitory room using his computer to access the Shaanxi Provincial Earthquake Administration website.  Before leaving, he noticed that there was an administrator's link at the bottom.

"I am a computer science major.  I know that many websites have administrative flaws.  I wanted to see what it is like inside," Jia Zhipan said.  So he clicked on the link and entered the password "123456."  Amazingly, Jia Zhipan was allowed to enter.  At that moment, he got the idea to run a "prank."  So at 20:53pm, he composed and posted the notice: "There will be severe earthquakes tonight at 23:30 in Shaanxi and elsewhere!"  The notice said that Shaanxi and Sichuan geologists have determined that the frequent and intense earthquakes around the Wenchuan plate are moving up in the northeastern direction with a a magnitude 6 to 6.5 earthquake due at 23:30 in Gansu Tianshui, Baoji, Hanzhong, Xian and other places.  People were asked to take precaution.  This notice was posted on the front page of the Shaanxi Earthquake Adminstration's website.

Afterwards, he went to use the restroom and drank some water.  About 10 minutes later, he came back and saw that 767 people had already read the notice.  He realized that this was getting serious and he immediately deleted the notice.

After the notice was published, many people called the Shaanxi Earthquake Administration, which realized that its website had been hacked and issued a rumor-clearing notice.

The police were called in, and they basically locked in the IP address of the perpetrator.  On June 4, Jia Zhipan re-entered the Shaanxi Earthquake Administrator website.  This time, the police tracked him down.  The Shaanxi Xian City Yanta District Procuratorate charged Jia with disseminating a false message that created public panic.

During the court trial, the prosecutor and the defendant's lawyer did not disagree over the facts.  But they argued vigorously whether the fake messahad caused people to be afraid.  The defendant's lawyer said that 767 is not a lot of people and the telephone calls were mainly to ask whether the information was true or false, and this showed the public was skeptical.

Jia Zhipin made a personal statement in court: "I did not send out the information with malice at heart.  I was just trying to satisfy my curiosity.  I have let the country, the university and my parents down.  I have caused trouble for the Earthquake Administration.  I am sorry for the impact that this false information had on people ..."  Tears were flowing down, and his parents were crying in court too.

The judge found Jia Zhipin guilty of disseminating false earthquake information and creating public panic and disorder.  He sentenced Jia to 18 months in prison.  Jia and his family were relieved because they thought that the sentence would be a lot heavier.

(Ming Pao via Yahoo)  August 29, 2008.

HKU POP interviewed 3,447 registered voters on August 19-27.  For the Kowloon West district, Claudia Mo (Civic Party) has fallen from her original 17.5% in third place to 12.1% in fourth place.  The eloquent Raymond Wong has finally crossed over the 10% mark for the first time.  Chinese University of Hong Kong Political and Administrative Studies senior lecturer Choi Chi-keung said that Claudia Mo is not familiar with election campaigning and lost to Wong during the televised debates.  That was why her numbers are sagging.

(Apple Daily)  August 30, 2008.

HKU POP interviewed 388 Kowloon West registered voters on August 24-28.  The results showed that Frederick Fung (ADPL) had 13.0% support, Starry Lee (DAB) at 11.2%, Claudia Mo (Civic Party) at 10.1%), James To (Democratic Party) at 9.8% and Raymond Wong (League of Social Democrats) at 9.1%.

[Technical note: Ming Pao excludes people who are undecided, while Apple includes them in reporting their respective support levels].

Why is this absurd?  At a sample size of 388 for August 24-28, the 95% confidence interval for a 10% support level is (6%, 14%).  In other words, at a sample size of 388, Frederick Fung, Starry Lee, Claudia Mo, James To and Raymond Wong are in a statistical tie.  The sample size for August 19-27 is about double which means that the 95% confidence interval for a 10% support level is (7%,13%).  In other words, Claudia Mo and Raymond Wong are in a statistical tie.

If people want to build mountains out of molehills, that is their prerogative.  But it is not obvious whether good/bad news will help/hurt.  You want good news because it means your opponents are faltering.  You want bad news because it will motivate to vote.  So the media outlet trying to help you may be hurting you, and vice versa.  Who know?  But it is entertainment for the reader who follows the length that media will go through to spin.

(Those Were The Days)

Yesterday I saw the Hong Kong SAR government gave a warm welcome to the Chinese Olympic gold medalist.  The Hong Kong SAR arranged for a solemn formal reception.  Hong Kong SAR Chief Executive Donald Tsang went to the airport to receive them personally.  Several days ago, when the Hong Kong Olympians returned, our Chief Executive was nowhere to be seen.  A cocktail party took place later, but it was sparsely attended.  This was a strong contrast with the high-profile reception yesterday for thte Chinese Olympic gold medalists.

Well, Oriental Daily has a different interpretation about this ceremonious recepton.

(Oriental Daily via Sina.com.hk)  Donald Tsang Was Truly Impolite.  August 30, 2008.

The chartered airplane arrived at around 11am and stopped at the pre-designated spot.  At 11:10am, the cabin door opened and the delegation descended.  110 elementary school students had been sent there to shout "We welcome you warmly!" as well as wave the Chinese national and HK SAR flags.  There were some flower presentations, handshaking and photo-taking.  All this took place in an open area under the midday sun.

Next, Hong Kong SAR Chief Executive Donald Tsang delivered a speech in the Cantonese dialect with the Olympic gold medals serving as the backprop.  Prop is the operational keyword of the day, as Tsang is obviously like to use this occasion to prop up his sagging popularity.  The most recent HKU POP poll showed that the confidence index for him has gone into the negative (39% confident, 41% not confident) for the first time during his tenure.

Donald Tsang is being rude here, because he turned his back to the athletes and spoke in Cantonese, which the majority of the athletes do not understand.

The delegation stood more almost 20 minutes in the area.  The athletes were bothered by the intense sun and they sweated profusely.  Even worse off were the elementary school students and the media who were in position an hour beforehand.

How is that for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory as a PR gimmick?

Q6. The Beijing Olympics are now over.  Overall, do you think that the Beijing Olympics was successful?
  1.6%: Very unsuccessful
  2.1%: Somewhat unsuccessful
25.8%: Somewhat successful
68.7%: Very successful
  1.7%: Don't know/hard to say

Q7. Which of the following is the most important standard by which you judge the success of the Beijing Olympics
  4.9%: The number of gold medals won by China
57.1%: Beijing was able to complete the Olympics safely and smoothly
  2.0%: The number of foreign VIP's attending the Beijing Olympics
31.1%: The media were able to report the Olympics and the situation in China
  2.7%: Other
  3.5%: Don't know/hard to say

Q8. Are you proud of China hosting the Olympics?
41.2%: Very proud
43.4%: Somewhat proud
12.9%: Not proud
  1.6%: Not  proud at all
  1.0%: Don't know/hard to say

Q9. Do you feel that the Beijing Olympics has changed the image of China?
  1.2%: Became worse
  7.9%: No change
89.5%: Became better
  1.4%: Don't know/hard to say

For the details of this case, please read The internet reports: Famous economist is a spy! (from Joel Martinsen, Danwei.org).

Since then, Boxun has issued a solemn announcement to the effect that the story about Wu Jinglian was false (see link):

[in translation]  When Boxun released the news that Wu Jinglian was involved in an espionage case, it drew high interest from various quarters.  Information from various channels says that the story is false.  Since the information was already available inside China before Boxun published it, Boxun did not issue any corrections.  This evening, Boxun confirmed that Wu Jinglian was attending meetings in Tianjin for five days and he has arrived in Xunyi this evening.  At the meeting tonight, Wu Jinglian was warmly welcomed.  When people asked Wu Jinglian to comment on this rumor, he declined.

[ESWN comment: Is Boxun in the truth business after all?  Let me suggest that you take a look at the front page with the hottest topics.

Next to the Sichuan earthquake, the tofu school buildings and the Beijing Olympics, they have "the case of the Weng'an rape-murder."  This might have been the case with the initial Internet rumors.  As more facts emerged, this is no longer tenable.  Why do they still position this way?  Is it about the pursuit of truth?  (reference: The Weng'an Mass Incident).]

(Washington Post)  Taiwan's Ex-Security Chief Accused of Hiding Presidential Cash Scheme.  By Jane Rickards.  August 29, 2008.

Taiwan's former security chief was indicted Thursday for allegedly covering up suspected money-laundering activities by former president Chen Shui-bian and his family.

...

Prosecutors are seeking 2 1/2 years' imprisonment for Yeh Sheng-mao, chief of the Bureau of Investigation under Chen, for allegedly concealing documents given to his bureau by the Egmont Group, an international organization that collects data on suspicious financial activity. The Egmont documents expressed suspicion that the money wired into a Swiss bank account belonging to the daughter-in-law involved money laundering.

...

Subordinates at Yeh's bureau, which deals with white-collar crime and internal security, notified Yeh when they received the Egmont documents in January and recommended that the bureau take legal action, the Taipei District Prosecutor's Office said in a statement.

But Yeh reportedly told them the matter was so confidential and sensitive that only he was equipped to deal with it. He then concealed the documents, quashing any possible investigation, the statement said.

The above report is based upon the press release from the prosecutor's office.  It may be factually correct, but it is not very exciting.  Here is the detective story as reported in UDN, which is much more exciting.

According to prosecutors, after the money laundering case broke open, Yeh Sheng-mao hired the Kongfu Moving Company on August 17 to come to his residential home to move his official documents and several dozens of bottles of wine to his private office.

Later on, the prosecutors were suspicious that they could not find anything on their initial search of Yeh's house.  So they reviewed the surveillance tape outside Yeh's residential home and saw the Kongfu Moving Company truck on a drizzly night.  The moving process took about one hour and then the truck left.

The prosecutor then located the driver of that truck and asked him to lead them to his destination that night.  When the driver and the prosecutor arrived at the building that housed Yeh's private office, they saw another moving company crew moving things out.  The Kongfu Moving Company driver told the prosecutor that he recognized the stuff as that which he had moved the other night.  The prosecutor observed the proceedings and followed this truck to its new destination, which is the warehouse of a friend of Yeh.

The prosecutor then informed his superior, who judged that this is likely connected to the money laundering case.  An emergency search order was obtained from the court and the residential home of Yeh Sheng-mao and the warehouse of his friend were then searched.  The Egmont documents were recovered this way.

Previously Yeh Sheng-mao claimed that he had misplaced the Egmont documents.  But they were right there.  The circumstances are very clear, and this explains why Yeh Sheng-mao was prosecuted so quickly.

(Apple Daily)

Chen Shui-bian is customarily referred to as "former president Chen" (陳前總統).  In a Freudian slip of the tongue, the press release from Chen Shui-bian's office included the sentence: 檢方並未就陳錢總統之海外存款是否即為選舉結餘款,對陳鎮慧女士提出詢問.  The key point is to note that 陳前總統 ("former president Chen") was mistyped as 陳錢總統 ("money president Chen").  At this point, that may be the more apt descriptor.

[in translation]

Under the proportional representation system, the Hong Kong Legislative Council elections may be determined less by the years of accomplishments and the political party effect than by strategic voting in the final stages.

The so-called strategic voting refers to a voter who prefers candidate A first.  But since candidate A was either certain to win (or lose), the voter decided not to waste his vote and therefore votes for the second or third choice instead, because the latter appears to be on the verge of winning and this vote will have a material impact.

There is a paradox in strategic voting: If too many voters do so, the election results may be distorted because the sure winner can actually lose.  In the 2004 Hong Kong Island Legco elections, Cy Ho was defeated as a result ...

Under these circumstances, the voter perception of who might be winning or losing becomes very important.  The public opinion poll results published by the media can be very influential.  By effectively controlling the public opinion polls, it is possible to manipulate voter perceptions and cause them to vote strategically in a certain direction.

In the HKU and CUHK polls published by the media, there are some big differences.  Since the two organizations do not differ too greatly in terms of sampling and interviewing methodology, the only explanation is the sampling error arising from small samples sizes.  These two polls often have just over 200 respondents in the Kowloon East and Kowloon West districts.  At the 95% confidence, a candidate with a 10% rating is really between 6% and 14%.  In New Territories East and New Territories West, the sample sizes are more than 400 respondents but the 95% confidence interval for a candidate with a 10% rating is between 7% and 13%.

With the rolling samples, several dozen respondents are added each day ... It may be the case that if we compare the numbers of the beginning of August versus the end of August, we may be able to discern certain trends.  But it is not statistically sound to look at the latest polls each day and proclaim this party is surging or that party is collapsing.

The main point of this discussion is that the poll results reported in newspapers can only give a rough picture.  For example, those candidates with less than 2% support will unlikely be elected.  As another example, the DAB list in New Territories probably has the highest level of support.  But the polls will not accurately tell what the true numbers are.  In some districts, the difference between winning and losing is just 1% or 2%, so the outcome will be hard to predict.  If the voters use these numbers to guide their strategic voting decisions, some unexpected things may happen.

In the absence of objective "truth," various people will create certain impressions to influence the election results.  A certain newspaper releases poll results selectively each day to push certain candidates.  Today, Tsang Kwok-fung is said to have a chance as the second member of his list (even though the poll says that he has less than 2%).  Tomorrow, Lee Wing-tat says that his situation is critical (but the newspapers will not report that Lee Cheuk-yan had issued an emergency appeal already).

Since the HKU and CUHK polls results are somewhat different and since most voters will not systematically gather all the relevant data to make analytical comparisons, the political parties and candidates can choose a particular poll result that is favorable to them in order to boost support.  The candidates on the edge between winning and losing will cite the worst possible poll result to show that they are in critical condition; the candidates who are sure winners will cite the best possible poll result to show that a second seat is possible for their list.

When the newspapers and political parties selectively use poll results to guide voters to make strategic votes, the polls are no longer objective and neutral reflections of reality.  Instead, they have become strategic tools.  Nevertheless, the fact is that neither the voters, the media nor even the candidates have accurate information to judge how many votes the candidates are getting in order to make the strategic voting decisions.  If the voters end up using manipulated information to vote strategically, the outcome may be even more distorted.

When an election system has a vast number of strategic votes, it is a bad system because it does not accurately reflect and represent the will of the public.  The polls are not completely accurate and the media are selectively reporting whatever they need from the polls.  This means that the voters cannot make accurate strategic votes.  Therefore, the smartest thing to do is to vote according to your original preference.

        Aug 18-27
Geographical Constituency List   Party  
Hong Kong Island 1 Lam Chui Lin Liberal Party <2
  2 Ho Sau Lan Cyd Civic Act-up 7.4
  3 Kam Nai Wai, Yeung Sum Democratic Party 11.4
  4 Tsang Kin Shing League of Social Democrats <2
  5 Tsang Yok Sing Jasper, Choy So Yuk DAB 16.3
  6 Siu Man Wa Myra   <2
  7 Lo Wing Lok   8.9
  8 Chan Tanya, Eu Yuet Mee Audrey Civic Party 28.7
  9 Ip Lau Suk Yee Regina, Shih Tai Cho Louis   25.3
  10 Lai Chi Keong Joseph   <2
         
Kowloon East 1 Wu Chi Wai Democratic Party 5.2
  2 To Kwon Hang Andrew League of Social Democrats 5.4
  3 Chan Kam Lam DAB 17.5
  4 Leong Kah Kit Alan Civic Party 23.9
  5 Li Wai Ming Democratic Party 21.8
  6 Wong Kwok Kin Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions 26.2
         
Kowloon West 1 Chong Wing Charn Francis   <2
  2 Lee Wai King Starry DAB 17.8
  3 Lung Wai Man James   <2
  4 To Kun Sun James Democratic Party 17.8
  5 Mo Man Ching Claudia Civic Party 12.1
  6 Lam Yi Lai   <2
  7 Leung Mei Fun   7.7
  8 Wong Yuk Man League of Social Democrats 10.8
  9 Tien Michael Puk Sun Liberal Party 7.0
  10 Fung Kin Kee Frederick ADPL 18.0
  11 Lau Chin Shek   6.1
  12 Lau Yuk Shing   <2
  13 Tam Hoi Pong   <2
         
New Territories East 1 Tien Pei Chun James Liberal Party 13.6
  2 Siu See Kong Party for Civic Rights & Livelihood of the People of Hong Kong Limited <2
  3 Lau Wai Hing Emily The Frontier 8.1
  4 Wong Shing Chi Democratic Party 7.9
  5 Leung Kwok Hung League of Social Democrats 5.8
  6 Lee Chi Wing Alvin   <2
  7 Cheng Kar Foo Andrew Democratic Party 16.4
  8 Tong Ka Wah Ronny Civic Party 18.9
  9 Pong Scarlett Oi Lan   6.1
  10 Lau Kong Wah, Chan Hak Kan DAB 21.9
         
New Territories West 1 Cheung Chiu Hung Civic Party 6.0
  2 Lee Cheuk Yan Hong Kong Confederation of Trade Unions 13.1
  3 Tam Yiu Chung, Cheung Hok Ming DAB 22.5
  4 Ho Chun Yan Democratic Party 11.8
  5 Tandon Lal Chaing ADPL <2
  6 Yuen Wai Chung